Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.007833 0.008800 0.009857 0.011099 0.012523 0.014107 0.016009
2025-02-09 0.006231 0.007530 0.009071 0.011045 0.013523 0.016553 0.020569
2025-02-16 0.005419 0.006870 0.008687 0.011155 0.014454 0.018760 0.024888
2025-02-23 0.004746 0.006245 0.008207 0.010997 0.014919 0.020321 0.028475
2025-03-02 0.004332 0.005888 0.008003 0.011136 0.015743 0.022405 0.033018
2025-03-09 0.003931 0.005494 0.007687 0.011053 0.016203 0.023977 0.036975
2025-03-16 0.003494 0.004998 0.007167 0.010598 0.016027 0.024533 0.039369
2025-03-23 0.003229 0.004724 0.006938 0.010545 0.016447 0.026040 0.043499
2025-03-30 0.003128 0.004683 0.007049 0.011024 0.017757 0.029136 0.050803
2025-04-06 0.002855 0.004351 0.006677 0.010679 0.017648 0.029795 0.053782
2025-04-13 0.002624 0.004067 0.006356 0.010382 0.017580 0.030502 0.056929
2025-04-20 0.002474 0.003900 0.006208 0.010362 0.017991 0.032113 0.062071
2025-04-27 0.002413 0.003881 0.006315 0.010818 0.019358 0.035763 0.072158
2025-05-04 0.002266 0.003707 0.006145 0.010763 0.019767 0.037630 0.078844
2025-05-11 0.002160 0.003594 0.006069 0.010871 0.020498 0.040231 0.087630
2025-05-18 0.002025 0.003419 0.005868 0.010717 0.020681 0.041703 0.094041
2025-05-25 0.001943 0.003332 0.005819 0.010852 0.021469 0.044582 0.104425
2025-06-01 0.001840 0.003198 0.005670 0.010771 0.021790 0.046460 0.112645
2025-06-08 0.001699 0.002985 0.005357 0.010329 0.021275 0.046344 0.115574
2025-06-15 0.001617 0.002878 0.005239 0.010278 0.021622 0.048311 0.124601
2025-06-22 0.001601 0.002894 0.005359 0.010743 0.023198 0.053492 0.143918
2025-06-29 0.001498 0.002734 0.005121 0.010408 0.022863 0.053832 0.148968
2025-07-06 0.001407 0.002593 0.004911 0.010120 0.022611 0.054352 0.154698